The Milwaukee Bucks will look to even up their best-of-seven Eastern Conference first-round matchup when they battle the Indiana Pacers in Game 4 on Sunday night. The Pacers (50-32), who are 12-5 all-time in playoff games against Milwaukee, are 20-21 on the road this season, including the postseason. The Bucks (48-34), who had entered the playoffs on an eight-game winning streak, are 28-14 on their home court in 2024-25.

Tip-off from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Bucks are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Bucks odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 226.5. The Bucks are -170 on the money line (risk $170 to win $100), while the Pacers are +142 (risk $100 to win $142).

Before making any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following could have seen HUGE returns!

The model has simulated Pacers vs. Bucks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value!