Canadians will elect a new government on Monday, as Mark Carney’s Liberals try to extend their hold on power against Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives .
To win, the former central banker’s party hopes to benefit from the collapse of support for the New Democrats , the Bloc Quebecois and even the Greens , which only had two seats to defend.
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All times expressed as Eastern Time
The first results will come in just after 7 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time, when voting hours end in the four Atlantic provinces, accounting for a little less than 10% of the seats in play. The vast majority of results will be released at 9:30 p.m., when voting ends in most of the country, including in seat-rich Ontario and Quebec. The outcome of the election could be known shortly after these votes start to be reported.
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Note: Seats for 2021 are based on estimated votes in redistributed ridings. See notes for more.
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These key races may give us clues on how the election will unfold
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Central Newfoundland
Liberals hope to win Atlantic seats from the Conservatives after ditching the unpopular consumer carbon tax.
This fishery-dependent riding went Conservative in 2021, but projections suggest a close race with the Liberals.
Eastern Quebec Reports Early
This redistributed riding reports results an hour earlier than the rest of Quebec.
A race between the Bloc Quebecois, Liberals and Conservatives in one of Canada’s oldest francophone cities.
Liberals lost this seat to the Bloc Quebecois in a byelection last year amid Justin Trudeau’s unpopularity.
Reports emerged late in the campaign that Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre was at risk of losing his seat.
This Liberal-held riding in the manufacturing belt north of Toronto is the kind of seat the Conservatives need to flip.
Liberal Ya’ara Saks has held this seat since 2020, but Conservatives hope to win with Roman Baber, a former provincial lawmaker.
Liberals hope to snatch this riding from the union-backed New Democratic Party amid Trump’s tariffs.
Northern Ontario Bellwether
Another steel town hit by the trade war, this area was hotly contested between Conservatives and Liberals in 2021.
Conservatives hope their efforts to attract blue-collar and union workers will pay off in this NDP stronghold.
The Liberals hope to poach this seat from the NDP as the left-wing party’s vote collapses across the country.
Tight Conservative-Liberal Race
The Conservative incumbent has the edge, but Liberals want to win back this seat they once held for decades.
Mayor Running For Liberals
Edmonton Mayor Amarjeet Sohi is running for the Liberals in a close race with the Conservative candidate.
Calgary is a Conservative stronghold, but the Liberals have held this seat before and hope to snatch it back.
Conservative incumbent tries to fend off a Liberal challenger in this area hit by housing affordability woes.
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh may lose his own seat as progressive voters flock to Mark Carney’s Liberals.
NDP MP Don Davies has held this riding since 2008. His loss would be another sign of the party’s collapse.
Note: The last winner is based on estimated votes in redistributed ridings. See notes for more.
View Our 2021 Canadian Election Results Page
The incumbents have formed the government since 2015, under the leadership of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. The Conservatives had been ahead in the polls by double-digit margins since 2023. But when Trudeau announced his resignation in January, and President Donald Trump took office south of the border, the Liberals started to climb in opinion polls.
With the Liberal Party occupying the center to center-left of the political spectrum, and dominating in opinion polls, the leftist New Democrats could be squeezed out of official party status in the House of Commons, if they can’t reach the 12-seat mark. The Bloc Quebecois only runs candidates in majority French-speaking Quebec, the country’s second most populous province, and will look to defend the 30-plus member contingent they’ve had since 2019, following electoral wipeouts in two prior elections.
By Cedric Sam Editor: Jeremy Scott Diamond With the assitance of: Laura Dhillon KaneDerek Decloet Sources: Elections Canada (voting hours, live results data and 2021 results data transposed to 2023 representation map).
Photography: David Kawai/Bloomberg, Arlyn McAdorey/Bloomberg, Andrej Ivanov/AFP, Graham Hughes/Bloomberg and James MacDonald/Bloomberg.
The total number of seats in Parliament is now 343, up from 338 seats at the last general election in 2021. Results from the last election were transposed to the 2023 electoral map by Elections Canada and represented as such in the graphics for ease of comparison. For results using the previous electoral map, see our 2021 results page (prior to validation) or Elections Canada’s page.
Major cities on the provincial-level map include districts defined by Elections Canada in its list of major centres, which was determined from Statistics Canada’s census metropolitan areas. This definition differs from common parlance about these regions: for instance, the exurb of Oshawa could be considered part of the Greater Toronto Area, but is not part of the Toronto CMA, thus also not part of the Toronto major centre either.
