The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks square off again on Saturday following a 7-0 Brewers win on Friday night. The Brewers put together 7 runs on 10 hits behind a vintage effort from Jose Quintana on the mound. The Snakes looked lost at the plate, collecting only 4 hits. With Corbin Burnes taking the mound on Saturday, the D-Backs are heavy favorites. I totally get it if you aren’t up for this sort of risk, but the thing about baseball is that you just have to roll the dice on some plus-money underdogs every now and then. I can see a case for the Brewers winning, and at a +150 price tag I’ll play it.
Remember that due to a coaching screw-up in spring training, Burnes opened the season in the fifth spot in the rotation for the Diamondbacks. That means he has thus far drawn a matchup against a bottom-end opponent. But Burnes has been anything but sharp — he has given up 8 runs in 2 starts, with neither start lasting beyond the fifth inning. It is not crazy to think he might have a short start again. Chad Patrick is a no-name pitcher for the Brewers, but he has been plenty serviceable so far. He has made 2 starts, allowing only 1 run. All I’m saying is this: the entire betting world is going to bet Arizona (or stick it in a parlay). But Burnes isn’t sharp yet, Patrick has been better than you think, Marte is still out for the D-Backs and the Brewers just rolled up a 7-0 victory on Friday. Thinking they might win again isn’t the craziest idea. Give me the Brew Crew at a high payout.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks prediction: Milwaukee ML (+150) available at time of publishing. Playable at that price.
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