Mookie Betts is perhaps getting a touch unlucky with an unsustainably low BABIP. He’s barely striking out and is showcasing rock-solid power. He’ll be a difference maker tonight vs. the Rockies.
Jason Wilson • Publishing Editor
Apr 16, 2025 • 12:30 ET • 4 min read
Unsurprisingly, the Colorado Rockies are just what the doctor ordered to cure the Los Angeles Dodgers of their recent swoon.
Los Angeles had lost three consecutive series before Colorado came to town, and our Rockies vs. Dodgers predictions expect the home team to complete the sweep tonight.
I break down why Mookie Betts will be a key contributor to making that a reality in my MLB picks for Wednesday, April 16.
Rockies vs Dodgers prediction
My Rockies vs Dodgers best bet: Mookie Betts Over 1.5 total bases (+135 at bet365)
Despite losing 20+ pounds due to an extended illness as the Los Angeles Dodgers went to Japan, Mookie Betts has barely missed a beat. Through 16 games, the infielder is slashing .279/.371/.508 with four home runs and 10 RBI. He’s struck out in just 7.1% of his plate appearances, which would easily be a career-best mark if extrapolated across an entire season.
If anything, the batting average is a touch low thanks to a suppressed .250 BABIP. He’s making a boatload of contact, but luck just hasn’t been on his side, especially of late.
In the series opener, though, Betts walloped a home run and a double. And despite going 0-for-5 last night, he didn’t strike out once. Betts is putting the ball in play and — sooner or later — the ball is going to start dropping. I’m betting on sooner.
The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball. If not for last year’s iteration of the Chicago White Sox that lost 121 games, they’d be in the running for worst of a generation.
Starting pitcher German Marquez likely has the most name recognition on the staff, but he won’t provide much of a respite. Not against the Dodgers. Through three starts this season, Marquez owns a 4.60 ERA and is striking out just 14.9% of batters for a 5.74 K/9. Failing to miss bats is a recipe for disaster against Los Angeles and Betts.
Marquez hasn’t been healthy in ages, pitching 24 innings between 2023 and 2024. While he opened the season strong, firing off six shutout innings against the Phillies, he’s been rough since, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) over 9 2/3 innings vs. the A’s and Padres.
While his seven walks thus far are alarming, they shouldn’t be an impediment to Betts clearing his total bases prop. For one, Betts’ 11.4% walk rate is good, but pedestrian. Second, six of those free passes came in one start, so command issues can’t be expected to be the norm for Marquez.
And if Marquez gives way to the bullpen, that may play even more into Betts’ favor, as Colorado’s relievers boast a combined 5.15 ERA, the fourth-highest mark in MLB. The Rockies bullpen has the second-lowest K/9 (7.02), and their 6.30 FIP suggests things should be even worse.
I expect Betts to clear this number early on, but on the off chance he doesn’t, he’ll have ample opportunity later on. He’s firmly entrenched as the team’s No. 2 hitter, so there’s an advanced likelihood of him getting five plate appearances if Marquez struggles.
Additionally, THE BAT X projects 1.9 total bases from Betts, marking the Over at +135 a five-star play in Covers’ MLB player props.
Rockies vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)
Mookie Betts 2+ total basesShohei Ohtani 2+ total bases
Freddie Freeman 2+ hits + runs + RBI
Shohei Ohtani isn’t hitting at the clip he did a year ago, but he’s still tallied seven extra-base hits in 19 games. As the leadoff hitter, he will also get more chances to swing the bat, and he matches up very well against a right-hander who can’t miss bats like Marquez.
If Betts and Ohtani are reaching base ahead of him, Freddie Freeman can easily clear the Over on his hits + runs + RBI prop. He holds the handedness advantage but also holds his own against lefties, should Colorado try to counter him with a southpaw reliever.
While tempted to take the Dodgers run line, I also don’t trust starter Bobby Miller, who’s making his season debut, even against a putrid Rockies offense. A once highly-touted prospect, Miller posted an 8.52 ERA last season and has struggled with command at Triple-A to open the year.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Rockies vs Dodgers odds
Rockies vs Dodgers live odds
Rockies vs Dodgers opening odds
- Moneyline: Colorado +255 | Los Angeles -315
- Run line: Colorado +1.5 (+125) | Los Angeles -1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)
Rockies vs Dodgers trend
The Dodgers have cashed their first-five team total Over in 96 of their last 175 games (+8.06 units / 4% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Rockies vs Dodgers and game info
Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California Date Wednesday, 4-16-2025 First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET TV MLB Network, ROCKIES.tv, SportsNet LA Rockies starting pitcher German Marquez
(0-2, 4.60 ERA) Dodgers starting pitcher Bobby Miller
(0-0, 0.00 ERA)
Rockies vs Dodgers latest injuries
Rockies vs Dodgers weather
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