Fritz – Walton: 25.03.2025 19:00 CEST

H2H: first meeting

Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches, including both this week in Miami in straight sets. In the third round, Fritz defeated Shapovalov in just over an hour. Fritz was the quarterfinalist in Miami in 2023. Last season, Seyboth Wild upset him in the second round.

Adam Walton has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Walton failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. However, after several players withdrew from the tournament, Walton entered the main draw as a lucky loser. He had a favorable draw and made it to the 1/8-Finals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, we agree that Fritz is the favorite in this matchup. He is a way better player than Walton and will have a crowd on his side. We expect him to dominate in this match and win easily.

That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -4.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365

Musetti – Djokovic: 25.03.2025 20:30 CEST

H2H: 1-7

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Musetti struggled in both matches. Musetti lost the opening set against Auger-Aliassime in the third round but turned it around. Last season in Miami, he lost in the fourth round to Alcaraz in straight sets.

Novak Djokovic has lost three of his last five matches. The Serb was lethal this week in Miami, winning both matches in straight sets. Djokovic is a six-time champion here. His last appearance here was in 2019 when he lost to Bautista-Agut in three sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Djokovic is the big favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. He has had a favorable draw so far, and this will be his toughest challenge so far in the tournament. Musetti is a dangerous player; we expect him to keep this match tight.

That said, Musetti winning at least one set is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti +1.5 sets @-112 @FanDuel

De Minaur – Berrettini: 25.03.2025 21:00 CEST

H2H: 2-2

Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, he defeated Fonseca in the third round after losing the opening set. Last season in Miami, he was stopped in the fourth round.

Matteo Berrettini has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Berrettini struggled in the opening round against Gaston. Yesterday, he dominated against Bergs in the third round, winning in straight sets. Last season in Miami, he lost against Murray in the opening round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, de Minaur is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. We expect a very tight match that could go either way. Berrettini had an easy third-round match against Bergs. On the other hand, de Minaur gave his all against Fonseca and spent almost three hours in court.

That being said, Berrettini covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini +1.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images